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Stock of the day: Iluka Resources

Federal funding supports Iluka Resources' WA rare earths refinery under the Future Made in Australia program. Analysts weigh in on its impact amid weak demand for zircon and rutile.

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This video was created on 6 December for IG audiences by ausbiz.

ASX code: ILU

Iluka Resources' strategic positioning in rare earths

Iluka Resources, the world's largest producer of zircon and titanium dioxide, is making headlines with a $400 million funding boost from the federal government for its rare earths refinery in Western Australia. This funding is part of the government's Future Made in Australia program and complements a previous $1.25 billion loan. The additional funding is contingent on securing satisfactory offtake agreements and delivering positive community outcomes.

Iluka Resources believes this project will deliver value to shareholders over decades, with further updates expected at its February results.

Market challenges and commodity cycles

Iluka Resources faces a challenging market environment, with its main products, zircon and rutile, heavily linked to the Chinese property market. The company's production has been impacted, with a 50% year-on-year (YTD) reduction due to decreased demand. Despite these challenges, Iluka has a unique opportunity with its mineral sands byproduct, which contains uranium and rare earths.

The company has been stockpiling this product since the 1990s and plans to develop a massive separation facility. However, the current slump in rare earth prices has led analysts to apply a significant negative net present value to the project, causing market concerns.

Investment outlook and strategic value

Despite the current commodity cycle challenges, some analysts see potential in Iluka Resources' asset portfolio. The company's net cash balance sheet and appealing valuation offer leverage to global growth and a recovering Chinese property market. While some remain cautious about the near-term outlook due to issues in China, others view Iluka as a strategic player in the mineral sands market.

The federal government's support underscores the company's importance as a significant employer and contributor to the economy. Investors are advised to consider a long-term perspective, with potential opportunities arising from a rebound in global markets.


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