EUR/USD, GBP/USD and NZD/USD rebound could be short-lived
EUR/USD, GBP/USD and NZD/USD look at risk of bearish reversal, with the pound leading the way lower.
EUR/USD regains ground within recent consolidation phase
EUR/USD has been on the rise since Thursday's low, with the pair looking to be continuing the consolidation that has dominated the past two weeks.
With the price halfway into this recent range, there is a good chance we continue to move higher from here. As such, a bullish outlook is in play today, with a drop back below $1.0804 required to negate this short-term bullish view.
GBP/USD collapses through key support
Recent losses have taken GBP/USD into the lowest level in almost two months, with the pair attempting to regain ground in recent hours. Despite the possibility of short-term upside from here, we are looking set for further downside given the breakdown below $1.2166 shown on the four-hour chart.
That break highlights the completion of a topping pattern, with further losses looking highly likely. With that in mind, a bearish outlook remains in play unless we see a break back through the $1.2238 swing high. Until we break that level, any short-term upside would be viewed as a selling opportunity rather than the basis for a long-lasting rebound.
NZD/USD rebounds from critical support level
NZD/USD losses have taken the pair back into a critical area of support, with the pair attempting to rebound from that $0.5921 level this morning. Whether this will be the beginning of a protracted period of gains remains to be seen.
However, a break below the $0.591 level would signal a likely top for this market, building on the bearish decline through $0.5995. To the upside, we would need to see the $0.6016 level broken to bring about a more bullish view and an end to the short-term downside of the past week. Until that level is broken, there is a good chance we are seeing the top for NZD/USD. However, it makes sense to either await a break through $0.6016 or $0.591 to confirm the direction from here.
Alternatively, bearish positions could look attractive if we see a deep retracement into the $0.598-$0.5994 zone (61.8%-76.4%).
The information on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG Bank S.A. accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer.
Start trading forex today
Find opportunity on the world’s most-traded – and most-volatile – financial market
- Trade spreads from just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
- Analyse with clear, fast charts
- Speculate wherever you are with our intuitive mobile apps
See an FX opportunity?
Try a risk-free trade in your demo account, and see whether you’re onto something.
- Log in to your demo
- Take your position
- See whether your hunch pays off
See an FX opportunity?
Don’t miss your chance – upgrade to a live account to take advantage.
- Get spreads from just 0.6 points on popular pairs
- Analyse and deal seamlessly on fast, intuitive charts
- See and react to breaking news in-platform
See an FX opportunity?
Don’t miss your chance. Log in to take your position.
Live prices on most popular markets
- Forex
- Shares
- Indices
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.
