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Market update: gold and silver prices weaken

Gold and silver prices weakened on Monday; XAU/USD inches closer to key rising support, while XAG/USD might have more room to consolidate.

Source: Bloomberg

XAU/USD technical analysis

Gold and silver prices have continued lower amid the rise in longer-term US Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar. As a result, how is the near-term technical landscape evolving in precious metals?

Gold continues to trade in a directionless flow from a near-term technical perspective. Prices are consolidating between the falling trendline from July and rising support from February – see chart below. Broadly speaking, XAU/USD remains unchanged form levels seen in mid-2020.

With each passing day, the yellow metal is running out of room to consolidate between support and resistance. As such, the direction of the breakout could be key for the coming trend. Below, watch the August low of 1884.89. Above, resistance seems to be the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 1971.63.

Gold daily chart

Source: TradingView

XAG/USD technical analysis

Meanwhile, silver faces a similar setting. Like gold, XAG/USD is consolidating between rising support and resistance. The difference here is that there is still plenty of room left for sideways price action. As such, XAG/USD could be left directionless for a longer period of time than gold.

Silver’s drop on Monday has brought it to the midpoint of the Fibonacci retracement level at 23.02. As such, it is also sitting just above rising support from the end of last year. A meaningful breakout likely entails a push under the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 22.29.

That exposes the 78.6% point at 21.24. Otherwise, a turn higher places the focus on the 38.2% level at 23.75. Just above that is the falling zone of resistance since May.

Silver daily chart

Source: TradingView

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The information on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG Bank S.A. accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer.

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