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US dollar bearish breakouts in focus: USD/SGD, USD/THB, USD/IDR, USD/PHP

US dollar saw selling pressure against ASEAN currencies last week; key breakouts are in focus for USD/SGD, USD/THB and USD/IDR and USD/PHP is looking neutral, watch the Head and Shoulders pattern.

Source: Bloomberg

Singapore dollar technical outlook – bearish

The Singapore dollar has been on an absolute tear against the US dollar, with USD/SGD closing at its lowest since the end of April last week. Prices also fell under the 1.3709 – 1.3743 inflection zone and the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), opening the door to extending losses. That is placing the focus on the 100-day SMA and the 1.3511 – 1.3526 support zone below. Closing back above the inflection range could open the door to resuming gains back towards the May high.

USD/SGD daily chart

Source: TradingView

Thai baht technical outlook – slightly bearish

The Thai baht has also been making progress against the US dollar, with USD/THB further confirming the breakout under rising support from February. Immediate support seems to be a combination of the 33.861 – 34.000 inflection zone, as well as the 50-day SMA. Closing under the latter in the week ahead would shift the outlook more bearish, placing the focus on the midpoint of the Fibonacci retracement at 33.447. Otherwise, a turn higher would expose the May 13th high at 34.807.

USD/THB daily chart

Source: TradingView

Indonesian rupiah technical outlook – slightly bearish

The Indonesian rupiah is also firming against the US dollar. After USD/IDR left behind a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern earlier this month, prices have seen downside follow-through. That has brought the pair right to the 20-day SMA, which could still hold as support and pivot prices higher. Otherwise, a downside breakout would shift the outlook more bearish, placing the focus on the former 14402 – 14438 resistance zone. Otherwise, a turn higher would bring the May 19th high at 14730 back in sight.

USD/IDR daily chart

Source: TradingView

Philippine peso technical outlook – neutral

The US dollar was able to hold steady against the Philippine peso this past week. Still, the bearish Head and Shoulders chart formation is still in play. A breakout under the neckline at 52.12 would open the door to a reversal. Still, that would place the focus on the floor of the Rising Wedge. The latter has been brewing since a year ago. Closing under the floor would shift the outlook increasingly bearish. Otherwise, a turn higher would place the focus on the ceiling of the wedge.

USD/PHP daily chart

Source: TradingView


This information has been prepared by DailyFX, the partner site of IG offering leading forex news and analysis. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.


The information on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG Bank S.A. accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer.

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