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FTSE 100 sees modest gains with energy and retail stocks

London’s FTSE 100 rose by 0.3% on October 3, 2024, driven by gains in energy shares and an unexpectedly optimistic profit forecast from Tesco.

Ftse 100 Source: Finimize

What does this mean?

  • Tesco’s impact

Tesco’s stock jumped 1.6% after the retailer revised its annual profit outlook upwards, thanks to a 10% increase in first-half core profit and a stronger market share. This positive performance from Tesco buoyed the FTSE 100, also reflecting strength in the retail sector, as the personal care, drug, and grocery store index gained 0.6%.

  • Energy sector gains

Energy stocks advanced 0.6%, extending their winning streak to a fifth day, as rising crude prices were driven by concerns over potential supply disruptions in the Middle East.

  • Stocks falling behind

On the downside, Phoenix Group and Hargreaves Lansdown dropped 5.6% and 2.7% respectively, both trading ex-dividend.

  • Monetary policy speculation

There’s ongoing talk about potential monetary easing, with the Bank of England’s (BoE) Governor suggesting faster interest rate cuts might be on the table if inflation continues to decelerate.

Why should I care?

A lift from retail and oil

The FTSE’s gains underscore the market’s resilience, with support from both the retail and energy sectors. Investors should closely monitor the implications of rising oil prices amid geopolitical tensions, as they could influence future market dynamics. Positive signals from UK retail, as reflected in Tesco’s performance, suggest potential opportunities for investors tracking mid-cap stocks, shown in the FTSE 250’s 0.2% rise.

The bigger picture: monetary moves in the mix

With improving UK inflation data, the BoE is hinting at quicker rate cuts, which could reshape the borrowing and investment landscape. In parallel, the US is closely watching labor market indicators, such as jobless claims and payroll figures, adding another layer of complexity to global economic strategies and market forecasts.

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