The Dow slides more than 550 points after bond market warns of recession
The US blue-chip index took a major tumble on Wednesday, reacting to the 10-year Treasury bond yield dropping below the 2-year Treasury bond – the first time since the 2007-08 financial crash.
The Dow Jones Index fell by more than 550 points on Wednesday in reaction to signs from the 10-year Treasury bond market and economic data coming out of Germany and China warned of a recession.
The sharp drop in the Dow was caused by the 10-year Treasury bond yield slipping near 1.6% on early on Wednesday, with it falling below the yield for the 2-year Treasury bond – the first time this has happened since the 2007-08 financial crash.
Investors shift away from equities to safer assets
The US blue-chip index suffered major as investors moved money away from equities and into haven investments like bonds, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq sliding 2.28% and 2.46% respectively on Wednesday.
The main driver of the stock market decline on Wednesday was weaker-than-expected economic data emanating from Europe’s largest economy, Germany, which saw it shrink by 0.1% in the second-quarter of the year as global trade disputes continue to hurt economic activity.
China also released figures overnight that highlighted how the world’s second largest economy is also reeling from its trade was with the US. Manufacturing output in China fell in July, along with weaker retail spending, signalling that a slowdown in economic growth.
Practise trading the Dow and other major indices with an IG demo account.
Bond market warns of recession on the horizon
The last time the 10-year Treasury bond fell below its 2-year counterpart, the financial crisis over a decade ago hit.
On average, long-term bonds offer a better yield than short-term bonds with investors requiring a larger pay-out for having their money locked in for a longer period.
However, that yield curve inverted on Wednesday, which is a sign that investors are growing worried about the strength of the US economy.
IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.
The information/research herein is prepared by IG Asia Pte Ltd (IGA) and its foreign affiliated companies (collectively known as the IG Group) and is intended for general circulation only. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently, any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Please see important Research Disclaimer.
Please also note that the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.
European Central Bank meeting
Learn about how the ECB meeting affects interest rates and price stability ahead of the next announcement.
- How might the next meeting affect the markets?
- What are the key rate decisions to watch?
- Why is the Governing Council announcement important for traders?
Live prices on most popular markets
- Forex
- Shares
- Indices
See more forex live prices
See more shares live prices
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.
See more indices live prices
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 20 mins.