Trading the Trend: short GBP/USD
Renewed weakness in GBP/USD means the downtrend of the past few months appears to be reasserting itself. Our trade is to go short GBP/USD, with a stop at $1.2340 and an initial target of $1.1960 and then the March low of $1.1830.
(Video Transcript)
Long copper not too shiny
Hello, welcome to Trading the Trend for Wednesday 25 October 2023. This week we're going to look at doing a short pound against the dollar on renewed pound weakness, but we'll look back first at last week's Trading the Trend.
For this one, we were going long copper down at about 8035, so roughly where we were a week ago, to be honest with you. But it looks like there are signs of strength emerging here. We had two big up days at the beginning of this week, which restored things.
The stock hasn't been hit down at 78.48, so that's good. But you can see crucially that this was a big area of support since November of last year. So it makes sense to expect maybe a repeat performance of what we had before with support holding and the price making fairly significant gains.
So the trade was to go long with a target at 8500. We haven't admittedly moved very far in that direction, but it looks like, with the gains of the previous two days so far this week, the buyers appear to be in control once again.
Short GBP/USD shows promise
Looking to this week for Wednesday 25 October, we are going to go short pound against the dollar. Crucially, this one has seen a big change in trend recently. You've seen this huge pullback from July from the highs to these lows in such a very short space of time.
But the consolidation we've had in October really appears to be working out the downside. You had a big rebound at the beginning of the month that then faltered. It tried to break trendline resistance yesterday on 24 October, and now the sellers appear to be driving this one down once more.
So I think we're going to look at going short this one with really a target down towards 119.60 in the first instance. Now, for the stop, we have to look at where the trade idea might be invalidated.
Stop above mid-October highs
So we're going to put it back above trendline resistance from those two low highs. So about 123.40 really is where we're going to put our stop. So it's above these mid-October highs as well.
So I think what we're expecting is it to move back down towards 119.60 and then beat over the course of time down towards the early March lows of 118.30, which is giving us a better risk to reward ratio.
So that's turning the trend for Wednesday 25 October. We're going short the pound against the dollar, short GBP/USD with a target down towards 119.60 and then 118.30 with our stop at 123.40.
IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.
The information/research herein is prepared by IG Asia Pte Ltd (IGA) and its foreign affiliated companies (collectively known as the IG Group) and is intended for general circulation only. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently, any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Please see important Research Disclaimer.
Please also note that the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.
Start trading forex today
Trade the largest and most volatile financial market in the world.
- Spreads start at just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
- Analyse market movements with our essential selection of charts
- Speculate from a range of platforms, including on mobile
Live prices on most popular markets
- Forex
- Shares
- Indices
See more forex live prices
See more shares live prices
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.
See more indices live prices
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 20 mins.