Skip to content

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

​​Still the Magnificent 7? The outlook for big tech after recent volatility

The recent sell-off in global markets has seen the Magnificent 7 take heavy losses. But are valuations for the group now more attractive?

Shares graph Source: Adobe images

​​​Tech stocks see huge volatility in market rout

​The past week has seen the selloff in the Magnificent Seven technology stocks gather pace. All seven of these major names, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Tesla, Meta, Alphabet and NVIDIA, have now seen their stock prices fall into negative territory compared to their position on 1 July:

​1 July to date chart

Magnificent 7 1 July to date chart ​Source: Eikon/IG
Magnificent 7 1 July to date chart ​Source: Eikon/IG

​However, as the second chart shows, only Tesla is in negative territory for the year. The others have still seen their share prices rise since 1 January, with an average return of 34% for the other six. This is skewed by NVIDA, which has still more than doubled in value, even after falling almost 30% from its record high.

​YTD chart

​How do their valuations compare?

​As a group, these stocks tend to trade at high valuations, usually at double-digit multiples, and sometimes higher. The table below shows the price-to-earnings ratio (PE) ratios for these seven stocks on 16 July, as the recent selloff began, and the ratio on 8 August, as markets calmed:

​PE ratios table

PE ratios table ​Source: Eikon/IG
PE ratios table ​Source: Eikon/IG

​Looking at the group, we can see that the Magnificent 7 traded at an average valuation on 16 July that was 13.6% above the five-year average. The most extreme was Tesla, which was 44% above its five-year average, while Amazon was a remarkable 26% below its average.

​By 8 August, the declines in their stock prices had driven these valuations down, so that the group now traded at a 2.2% discount to the five-year average. While hardly cheap, this had at least helped to trim some of the excessive investor enthusiasm around these names. At the extremes, Tesla was still almost 30% above its average, while Amazon’s valuation had slumped to a discount of 45%.

​What does this mean for the outlook for the Magnificent 7?

​It is unlikely that we have seen the end of the general period of volatility in stock markets. While the volatility index (VIX) has fallen sharply from the 5 August peak, it remains elevated compared to its mid-July levels. August and September are traditionally weak periods for stock markets, and investors remain nervous about a further unwinding of the yen carry trade, which might precipitate additional volatility.

​But, compared to mid-July, the Magnificent 7 are no longer pricing in overly optimistic assumptions. These remain global giants, with strong demand for their products and strong cashflow levels. As high-growth stocks, they are unlikely to trade at low valuations, except in times of crisis, but for those investors who felt they had missed out on the sector’s excellent performance so far this year, the recent correction might offer a chance to look anew at the sector at more reasonable valuations.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Seize a share opportunity today

Go long or short on thousands of international stocks.

  • Increase your market exposure with leverage
  • Get spreads from just 0.1% on major global shares
  • Trade CFDs straight into order books with direct market access

Live prices on most popular markets

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • Indices

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only

Plan your trading week

Get the week’s market-moving news sent directly to your inbox every Monday. The Week Ahead gives you a full calendar of upcoming economic events, as well as commentary from our expert analysts on the key markets to watch.

You might be interested in…

Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.

Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of CFDs.

Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.