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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold is beginning to lose the ground gained at the end of last week, while oil has paused for breath after a strong bounce.  

Oil pipes
Source: Bloomberg

Gold is faltering

Gold bulls staged a fightback on Friday but were unable to post new highs. Today the selling appears to be resuming, and on the four-hour chart a new lower high has been established.

A close below $1240 in this timeframe could open the way to the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at $1234, and then down to $1219, with a drop below here raising the prospect of a move to $1195. Buyers will need to get the price back above $1250 and then $1260 to indicate a return of the upward momentum.

Gold price chart

WTI sticks to the higher trend

The spectacular bounce of last week is beginning to run out of momentum in the short term, but the trend higher remains intact for WTI.

We look to see if any pullback creates a new higher low, with support potentially entering around $49.50. A push higher above the $51.20 level would open the way to the 50-day SMA at $51.64 and then $52.26. 

WTI price chart

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.