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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold is in full retreat this morning, while oil is moving modestly higher after heavy losses last week.

Oil pipework
Source: Bloomberg

Gold retreating

With risk assets rallying across the board, gold has been given a big shove lower. The pullback in gold’s current uptrend from the December lows looks to have further to run, with $1264, and then $1239 the big levels to watch in terms of potential support.

The 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1253, and then the 50-day SMA at $1245 could also provide some support in any bigger move lower. A rally needs to clear $1276, and then break above $1284 to put the price back above the long-term descending trendline off the highs of summer 2016.

Gold price chart

WTI shows shy moves up

Last week’s sell-off took the WTI price back to the 200-day SMA at $49.42, and we have now seen a small bounce off this level.

The first level to watch is $50.52, followed by $51.34 and $52. Below the 200-day SMA we have the rising trendline, which would suggest support around $48.07. 

WTI price chart

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.