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Dollar weakness likely to drive EUR/USD and GBP/USD strength, while USD/CAD heads lower

EUR/USD, and GBP/USD looking likely to gain ground after recent weakness, while USD/CAD heads lower once again.

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​EUR/USD declines towards Fibonacci support

EUR/USD has been on the back foot over the course of the week, with the break back below $1.185 on Wednesday giving way to further downside for the pair.

However, with the recent rally through $1.1881 bringing a higher high into play, there is a good chance that this period of downside represents a retracement before we head higher once again.

With that in mind, bullish positions are favoured unless the price drops back below $1.1754 support.

EUR/USD chart Source:ProRealTime
EUR/USD chart Source:ProRealTime

GBP/USD continued to build base after 76.4% pullback

GBP/USD has been taking its time building bullish momentum off the back of another retracement, with the pair respecting the 76.4% Fibonacci level over the course of the week.

The recent trend of higher lows does point towards a likely break higher before long. As such, a bullish view holds unless the price breaks below $1.3843 support.

GBP/USD chart Source: ProRealTime
GBP/USD chart Source: ProRealTime

USD/CAD rolling over from trendline and Fibonacci resistance

USD/CAD has seen a relatively volatile week, with the index reversing lower after a period of strength towards the beginning of the week.

That rise took us back into the confluence of trendline and Fibonacci resistance, with the recent bearish momentum coming back into play.

​The key hurdle to overcome for bears comes in the form of the C$1.2425 low, with a break below that level required to bring a wider bearish picture into play. To the upside, a break through C$1.2605 would bring about a fresh bullish signal for the pair.

USD/CAD chart Source: ProRealTime
USD/CAD chart Source: ProRealTime

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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