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EUR/USD, EUR/GBP slip on euro weakness while AUD/USD rallies post RBA meeting

EUR/USD and EUR/GBP continue to slide on the back of a depreciating euro while the Australian dollar surges higher as the RBA drops the ‘patient’ pledge in its April statement, pointing to future rate hikes.

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EUR/USD slips towards $1.0945 late March low

EUR/USD has slipped through its one-month downtrend line at $1.1002 and is heading down towards its late March low at $1.0945 as traders await US ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for March.

A slip through $1.0945 would engage the mid-March $1.0901 low. Further down sits the $1.0806 early March low.

Strong resistance remains to be seen between the January low and March high at $1.1122 to $1.1185. While the cross stays below this area, this year’s downtrend remains intact.

EUR/USD chart Source: IT-Finance
EUR/USD chart Source: IT-Finance

EUR/GBP’s swift decline weighs on one-month support line

EUR/GBP’s bearish reversal from its £0.8512 late-March high is grappling with the one-month support line at £0.8365, a daily chart close below which would push the £0.8305 to £0.8286 support zone to the fore. It consists of several daily lows made in January, February and on 23 March.

Minor resistance can be spotted between the 16 and 25 of February highs at £0.8402 to £0.8408.

Further up lies the mid-March high at £0.8458 and meanders the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at £0.8467.

EUR/GBP chart Source: IT-Finance
EUR/GBP chart Source: IT-Finance

AUD/USD trades in ten-month highs on RBA rate hike expectations

AUD/USD surges higher after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) dropped the ‘patient’ pledge in its April statement, leading investors to believe that the central bank will start to raise rates at its next meeting, having kept these at their record low of 0.1% for the 16th month in a row in today’s meeting.

The cross is trading at levels last seen in June 2021 and targets that month’s high at $0.7775, as well as the January 2021 peak at $0.782.

Previous resistance at $0.7564 to $0.7532, consisting of the January and March 2021 lows and October 2021 high, should now act as support, if revisited at all.

AUD/USD chart Source: IT-Finance
AUD/USD chart Source: IT-Finance

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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