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EUR/USD, EUR/JPY and USD/JPY rally as BoJ keeps interest rates unchanged

​​Outlook on EUR/USD, EUR/JPY and USD/JPY as BoJ sticks to its ultra-loose monetary policy and provides no guidance for 2024.

JPY Source: Bloomberg

​​​EUR/USD resumes ascent

EUR/USD's drop from last week’s $1.1009 high seems to have found support at Friday’s $1.0889 low with the cross resuming its ascent amid quiet trading as the festive season is getting closer.

​The late August high at $1.0945 is back in sight, a rise above which would put the recent highs at $1.1009 to $1.1017 on the cards. Further up lurks the 10 August high at $1.1065.

​Were Friday’s low at $1.0889 and the 14 November high at $1.0887 to give way, though, the 22 November low at $1.0852 could be reached instead.

EUR/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com
EUR/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com

​EUR/JPY rallies as BoJ sticks to ultra-loose monetary policy

EUR/JPY’s saw a swift ascent as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) stuck to its ultra-loose monetary policy and provided no guidance on whether it may move away from it next year.

​EUR/JPY shot back up to its 11 December high and late October low at ¥157.68 to ¥157.70. Were this resistance area to be exceeded, the 55-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥159.43 could be reached.

​Minor support sits at Thursday and Friday’s highs at ¥156.49 to ¥156.48.

EUR/JPY chart Source: IT-Finance.com
EUR/JPY chart Source: IT-Finance.com

​USD/JPY surges higher from last week’s five-month low

USD/JPY rapidly regained lost ground from last week’s ¥140.95 five month low as the BoJ kept its short-term rates at -0.1%, and that of the 10-year government bond yields around 0%. The central bank also retained a loose upper band of 1.0% for its long-term government yield.

​USD/JPY nears the late August and September lows at ¥144.45 to ¥144.54 which may short-term cap. If not, the November-to-December downtrend line at ¥145.66 could be reached.

​Potential slips should find support around Monday’s high at ¥143.16.

USD/JPY chart Source: IT-Finance.com
USD/JPY chart Source: IT-Finance.com

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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