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EUR/USD rallies, GBP/USD slips while USD/JPY trades near 7-month high

​​Outlook on EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY following hawkish Fed and dovish BoJ comments ahead of Thursday’s BoE rate decision.

EUR Source: Bloomberg

​​​EUR/USD nears $1.10 mark

EUR/USD jumped higher as Jerome Powell’s hawkish testimony to the House Financial Services Committee, in which he also said that rate hikes at a more moderate pace make sense, led to a drop in the greenback.

​The currency pair thus nears minor psychological resistance at $1.10, above which beckons the 10 May high at $1.1007, followed by the 8 May high at $1.1053. Key resistance remains to be seen between the $1.1075 to $1.1095 mid- to late April highs.

​Upside pressure should remain in play while this week’s low at $1.0893 holds. Slightly below it meanders the 55-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1.0886.

EUR/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com
EUR/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com

​GBP/USD comes further off its 14-month high at $1.2848 ahead of BoE rate announcement

GBP/USD is seen slipping back from its $1.2848 14-month high, made last week, ahead of today’s Bank of England (BoE) policy meeting at which the central bank is expected to hike rates for a thirteenth time to 4.75% but given Wednesday’s worse-than-expected sticky inflation may have to shock markets and hike rates to 5.00%.

​The one-month uptrend line at $1.2724 offers interim support ahead of Wednesday’s $1.2692 low. Below it sits the $1.2679 May peak which may offer support. If not, a slip back towards the $1.2599 to $1.2544 early to mid-June highs may ensue.

​Only a rise above Wednesday’s high at $1.2802 would put last week’s high at $1.2848 back on the cards, a rise above which would open the way for the minor psychological $1.30 level to be reached.

GBP/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com
GBP/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com

​USD/JPY trades near seven-month high

​Dovish remarks by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda pressured the yen which trades at near seven-month highs versus the greenback.

​The USD/JPY flirts with the late November 2022 peak at ¥142.25 which sits just below this week’s peak at ¥142.37. If overcome, the ¥145.00 region is likely to be attacked. Minor support below this week’s low at ¥141.22 can be spotted at the ¥140.93 May peak and also at the early June high at ¥140.45.

​While Friday morning’s ¥139.86 low isn’t being slipped through, further upside pressure is likely to be seen.

USD/JPY Source: IT-Finance.com
USD/JPY Source: IT-Finance.com

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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