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China Caixin manufacturing PMI stalls at 50.1 in October

The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing purchasing managers’ index for October was at 50.1 points, edging up slightly compared to 50.0 points in September.

Worker at a factory

Factory activity among smaller Chinese firms stagnated in October with almost no change in data readings from the previous month. However, the number was better-than-expected compared to the bearish forecast from analysts towards a manufacturing sector caught in the crosshairs of the United States (US)-China trade war.

The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for October was at 50.1 points, edging up slightly compared to 50.0 points in September. Economists in a Reuters poll had expected the sector to fall below the 50-mark that separates expansion and contraction, at a contractionary reading of 49.9 points.

For last month, factory output fell for the second straight month but stayed above 50.0 points. New export orders improved to 48.8 points from 47.6 points the previous month but remained in contractionary mode.

Official PMI numbers released on Wednesday showed China’s manufacturing sector growing in the weakest pace in over two years in October, falling below analysts’ expectations.

The slower factory pace has been attributed to the ongoing US-China tariff war, as some US tariffs went into effect in October.

The soft factory numbers translate to slower economic growth for the manufacturing-dependent nation. For the third quarter, China’s economy grew the weakest pace since the first quarter of 2009.

Just weeks ago, the International Monetary Fund said that the trade war escalation between the duo is likely to hit China harder than the US, and shaved the growth prediction for China next year to 6.2%, which will make it the slowest annual growth rate since 1990.

The Chinese Yuan was at ¥6.97 against the greenback on Thursday morning.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.