Skip to content

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

China Caixin manufacturing PMI worsens to 48.3 in January

The weaker start to the new year sets the country on a soft beginning, and confirms analysts’ views on a sluggish economic performance for this year due partly to effects from the United States-China trade war.

A factory in China Source: Bloomberg

Factory activity among smaller Chinese firms just got worse. A private survey on China’s manufacturing sector showed factory activity contracting more-than-expected in January.

The weaker start to the new year sets the country on a soft beginning, and confirms analysts’ views on a sluggish economic performance for this year due partly to effects from the United States (US)-China trade war.

The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for January was at 48.3 points, sinking from the 49.7 points in December. Economists in a Reuters poll had expected the sector to fall below the 50-mark that separates expansion and contraction, at a reading of 49.5 points.

For last month, the sub-index for new orders went deeper into contractionary mode. But the silver lining came from an increase in new export orders, suggesting some rebound in orders after the US-China called for a trade truce as last year came to a close.

The PMI sub-index for output fell, reflecting softer production demand. The measure for stocks of finished goods fell into contractionary mode while manufacturers reduced their inventories as the sub-index for stocks of purchased items fell further.

Official PMI numbers released on Thursday showed China’s manufacturing sector contracting for the second straight month in January, but the reading was still slightly higher than analysts’ expectations.

US-China trade talks conclude for this week

China has been embroiled in a scathing trade war with the US in recent months, affecting manufacturing demand as goods get more expensive.

China’s vice premier Liu He visited Washington on Wednesday and Thursday this week to quell the trade spat between both countries. US president Donald Trump said the talks had a ‘tremendous progress’, bringing an upbeat conclusion to the talks.

China has been broadly affected by the weakened trade as it copes with slowing domestic demand.

China’s growth for last year slipped to the lowest annual rate since the 1990s while its 2018 fourth quarter growth slowed to the weakest since the global financial crisis, as domestic and foreign demand slackened amid the country’s trade conflict with the US.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Start trading forex today

Trade the largest and most volatile financial market in the world.

  • Spreads start at just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
  • Analyse market movements with our essential selection of charts
  • Speculate from a range of platforms, including on mobile

Live prices on most popular markets

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • Indices

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only

Plan your trading week

Get the week’s market-moving news sent directly to your inbox every Monday. The Week Ahead gives you a full calendar of upcoming economic events, as well as commentary from our expert analysts on the key markets to watch.

You might be interested in…

Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.

Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of CFDs.

Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.