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China posts better-than-expected trade surplus and exports in September

Trade with all countries saw a surplus of US$31.69 billion, higher than August's numbers.
20190921_China

China exceeded market expectations with a larger-than-expected trade surplus of US$31.69 billion for September, official data released on Friday showed.

September’s numbers were higher than August’s surplus of US$27.89 billion. Experts in a Reuters poll had forecast a US$19.4 billion trade surplus for the month.

China’s trade with the United States (US) logged a surplus of US$34.13 billion, more than the US$31.05 billion in August.

China’s exports for the month rose 14.5% year-on-year, much higher than August’s 9.8% increase, data from the Chinese customs showed. Experts had expected an 8.9% increase.

Meanwhile, imports were up by 14.3%, moderating from the 19.9% increase in August and lower than analysts’ forecast of a 15% increase.

Earlier this week, the International Monetary Fund had downgraded its global economic growth predictions for this year and next year, pointing out that the trade war between the two largest economies - the US and China - is taking a toll on global growth.

But the IMF said that the trade war escalation is likely to hit China harder than the US, and shaved the growth prediction for China next year to 6.2%, which will make it the slowest growth rate since 1990.

At 12pm, Singapore time, the Chinese Yuan was trading at 6.90 against the greenback.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.