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FX levels to watch: EUR/GBP, GBP/USD and NZD/USD

The dollar is in control, with GBP/USD and NZD/USD selling off sharply. Meanwhile, EUR/GBP looks set to continue upwards over the medium term.

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EUR/GBP trading at channel resistance

EUR/GBP has managed to maintain its channel well this week, with the recent rally bringing us back into the upper echelons of the channel. This points towards a potential retracement before long.

However, we have not seen any signs of such a move yet and it is therefore very possible that we could see the price break from this formation. Any pullback from here would simply look like a retracement before we push higher once more, with a break below £0.8797 required to negate the current uptrend.

EUR/GBP chart

GBP/USD tumbles after double top completion

GBP/USD has been declining heavily since breaking the double top neckline, with yesterday’s rally back into that neckline proving a strong selling opportunity. For now, there is a chance that we will retrace upwards before long given the strength of yesterday’s downturn.

Should that occur, it would look like a selling opportunity as long as the price does not break through $1.2922. There is a strong chance of a short-term rebound soon, given the way that the stochastic is coiling into the apex of a descending triangle while the price trades near the key $1.2785 swing low.

GBP/USD chart

NZD/USD expected to keep falling after recent decline

NZD/USD managed to post a 61.8% retracement yesterday, coming off the back of a double top formation, sending the pair sharply lower.

The wider downtrend pointed towards the rally seen earlier in the month, providing a retracement that ultimately topped off at the 61.8% level. Now that we have resolved that retracement, we are likely to sell off into the $0.6424 swing low to continue the downtrend that has been in play over the past six months.

NZD/USD chart

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.