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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and USD/JPY

Both EUR/USD and USD/JPY have been largely consolidating at the start of play, with a government shutdown doing little to hurt the dollar. Meanwhile, the EUR/GBP pair is trading at a crucial support level.

GBP
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD consolidates around key support level

EUR/USD has been largely consolidating in early trade, with $1.2213 support being respected on a number of occasions. With that level representing both the neckline of a head and shoulders formation, alongside the 61.8% retracement, a break lower could see short-term downside.

However, with the wider trend pointing towards a resurgence for the pair, only a fall back below $1.2165 would bring a more bearish outlook. Until then, this recent sell-off looks like a retracement, with a break higher expected before long. Watch for an hourly close above $1.2257 for greater confidence that we are set to break higher from here. 

EUR/USD chart

EUR/GBP back into double top neckline

EUR/GBP has dropped back into the crucial £0.8809 support level to start the week, with this key area playing an important role in determining where we go from here.

Watch for a potential break to the downside from here, with the wider descending channel formation coming into play. That being said, should we break lower from here, it is worthwhile noting the existence of an ascending trendline, dating back to 10 March 2016. Remember, this area is pivotal for the days ahead. As such, should we fail to break lower, it is likely that this will be the point where the price begins to turn higher once more. 

EUR/GBP chart

USD/JPY gaining ground from Fibonacci retracement

USD/JPY has begun to move higher, following a fall into the 76.4% retracement last week.

The ability to push through ¥111.48 would point towards a wider resurgence and retracement into the ¥112.16 region. Alternately, a break back below ¥110.19 support level would provide a signal that the bearish wider view is set to come back in play. 

USD/JPY chart

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.