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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD

A revitalised US dollar is making itself felt throughout the FX space this morning, leading to one-year lows in cable and a retest of vital support for AUD/USD. 

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EUR/USD drops through support zone

EUR/USD is pushing below the key support zone, around $1.15, that has held since the end of May. A close below $1.15 would mark a bearish development, opening the way to $1.13 in the first instance, and then down to $1.1119.

A rebound could well see the price move back towards the highs of Wednesday and Thursday, around $1.1640, but even here fresh selling could well contain any further upside. Beyond this, the $1.1750 high from late July marks a key level that needs to be broken for any sustained bullish momentum to develop.

EUR/USD chart

GBP/USD pushes on downwards

Cable is now at levels last seen a year ago, with no end to the slump in sight for GBP/USD.

The $1.2773 level may serve as support, but if it is broken then $1.2635, $1.2589 and then $1.2366 are the next big areas to watch for possible buying pressure. As has been the case all week, a move above $1.32 is needed to create a new higher high, and any rally that fails to break this level would still look to be another possible selling opportunity.

GBP/USD chart

AUD/USD downtrend reasserts itself

The rally seen earlier in the week for AUD/USD is now a distant memory, as the downtrend line from the January highs returns with a vengeance.

Below $0.7310, the next big area of support is the December 2016 low down at $0.7160. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $0.7433 has acted to contain any rally over the past month, so a move above this and then above $0.7473 would be the conditions needed to suggest that the buyers have managed to reassert control. Rallies back towards $0.74 that fail to move higher likely remain selling opportunities.

AUD/USD chart

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.