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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD

Dollar strength across the board sees recent moves unwound, yet how long can this move last?

Pound and dollar
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD pullback begins to flat line

EUR/USD has been pulling back from key resistance this week, with the pair in retracement phase following a sharp move higher in late June. Whether this is a deep or shallow retracement is not yet known, but we are seeing tentative signals that the sell-off may already be over.

Despite the continued creation of lower highs and lower lows on an intraday basis, we have seen a failure to break lower once more this morning, with the pair now seeking a new high through $1.1368. However, it would be a break and hourly close above $1.1377 that would hold most value, providing a strong bullish signal. For the short term at least. A break back below $1.1336 would point towards continued downside for the pair.

EUR/USD price chart

GBP/USD continues to decline

GBP/USD is breaking lower once more this morning, perhaps providing a clue that this will also happen across on EUR/USD. This four-hour chart provides a more top level view, highlighting that while the break through $1.2978 last week points towards further gains, we could see a decent pullback first.

With that in mind, further downside is expected for now, but watch for a potential move into the deeper retracements for long positions to come back into play.

GBP/USD price chart

AUD/USD looks set for next leg lower

AUD/USD has been selling off sharply since its move into trendline resistance last week, with a dovish Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) certainly helping the decline. We have seen a brief period of respite, yet it appears that we could be set for another leg lower from here.

Bear in mind that a break below $0.7535 would be crucial for this bearish short-term picture to become more long-lasting. However, for now it looks like we could see further downside, with the 76.4% retracement and previous support structure around $0.7577 the initial area of support to watch.

AUD/USD price chart

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.