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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

The week has started quietly, with dollar bulls trying to recover after their drubbing on Friday. 

Euro and dollar
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD looks set to continue upward progress 

Last week’s dip held above the crucial $1.1080 area, and since then dips have been strenuously bought. Friday’s EUR/USD peak took out the high from 22/23 May, around $1.1250.

So far it looks like we will continue to see an ascent to $1.13. Conversely, a move below $1.11 is needed to indicate that upward progress has stalled. 

EUR/USD chart

GBP/USD needs to break above $1.29

This morning’s services purchasing managers index (PMI) could revive a flagging bounce in GBP/USD, but it needs to get back above $1.29, an area that has seen significant selling pressure in recent sessions.

The trendline was lost earlier in May, and last week an attempt to move back above it failed around $1.29. Last week’s support at $1.2775 and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1.2771 now come into play. 

GBP/USD chart

USD/JPY remains bearish 

USD/JPY continues to hover just above the 200-day SMA at ¥110.35, having seen the downtrend reassert itself with venom on Friday.

A break below this and the ¥110.11 level would clear the way to the ¥108 area of mid-April. It needs a close above the 100-day SMA at ¥112.25 to reverse the still bearish outlook. 

USD/JPY chart

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.