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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

While the euro remains above key support this morning, sterling’s break lower yesterday paints an ominous picture. Meanwhile, USD/JPY looks set to try for another move higher.

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EUR/USD still holding $1.15

Monday’s dip into the support zone around $1.15 brought out the buyers, so a push for EUR/USD towards descending resistance around $1.17 may not come into play.

Beyond this, the $1.18 and $1.1852 levels are areas of possible resistance. We continue to wait to see if the price can break through the zone of support that has persisted since the end of May, which would likely signal a continuation of the declines from mid-April.

EUR/USD chart

GBP/USD eyes fresh lows

GBP/USD broke the $1.30 level yesterday, establishing a new lower low in its downtrend from the May highs. Rallies have lasted a few days over the past four months, but have then become an excuse for further selling.

We would need to see a break back above $1.32 to suggest that this bearish view has played out and has been replaced with a near-term bullish outlook. Further declines below yesterday’s $1.2920 low would bring the $1.2773 low from August 2017 into view.

GBP/USD chart

USD/JPY still in uptrend

The overall move higher for USD/JPY from March remains intact, with the recovery above ¥111.00 confirming the more bullish view.

A steady push higher over the past two weeks indicates that the buyers are still in charge, with a move below ¥110.50 needed to negate this outlook. Further gains will target declining resistance around ¥111.50, and a break above here would break the downtrend from the mid-July high, and open the way to ¥112.00 and ¥113.00.

USD/JPY chart

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.