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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

Dollar weakness is prompting some interesting moves in FX, after Fed minutes proved to be less hawkish than some had hoped. 

Dollar and yen
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD needs to break $1.1850 to overturn bearish momentum

EUR/USD holds above $1.1714, with dips below this level continuing to bring out the buyers over the past week or so.

Momentum indicators remain bearish on the daily chart, while on the four-hour chart, we can see that the downtrend from the 3 August high remains in place. It will need a push above the $1.1850 area to break this. 

EUR/USD price chart

GBP/USD with a chance to return to $1.30

Fans of trendlines will be delighted by the current price action in GBP/USD, which has run straight into the rising trendline that has held since March. Thus we can see that any move below this and the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1.2865 would mark a more bearish development, but the bulls now have a chance to push the pair back to $1.30 and higher.

Below the trendline, $1.2775 and then $1.2706 are potential areas of support.

GBP/USD price chart

USD/JPY sees August gains disappear

Gains for USD/JPY in August so far have petered out below the ¥111 level, while ¥109 has acted to hold back any further downside.

Bulls will need to post a daily close above ¥111, which would then open the way to the 200-day SMA at ¥112.53, and then ¥114.37. Meanwhile, a loss of ¥109 would then open the path to ¥108.13 and ¥107.45.

USD/JPY price chart

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.