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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD

A rebound in the US dollar has dragged EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD lower. However, with a wider bullish view in play, there is a strong chance we could see those pairs move higher in the near future.

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EUR/USD retracement likely to bring another move higher

EUR/USD has gone back towards the 76.4% retracement within a recovery phase. This comes within a wider range, pointing towards a likely return to the upper echelons, around $1.2476, at some point.

While the price fell below the $1.2336 swing low overnight, this looks like a three legged retracement before we move higher once again. As such, further upside is expected from here, with a drop below the $1.2299 level needed to negate the bullish outlook.

EUR/USD chart

GBP/USD continues to sell-off amid Carney comments

GBP/USD has seen a week full of sharp declines, as a host of data points have dragged the currency. Yesterday’s dovish comments from Mark Carney added fuel to the fire, with the price falling below the 76.4% support level this morning.

These fundamental factors are certainly having a profound effect upon the price, yet we need to see a break below $1.3965 to undermine the wider uptrend in play. As such, watch for a rebound or break below $1.3965 to signal the next move for the pound.

GBP/USD chart

AUD/USD pullback could provide buying opportunity

AUD/USD has been retracing after breaking to the upside last week. This comes off the back of a wider fall into the 76.4% retracement of the $0.7501-$0.8136 rally.

Now we are seeing the price fall below the 61.8% retracement of the more recent recovery, where long positions look attractive from the zone between the 61.8% and 76.4% retracements. This is because a break below the previous low would necessitate a fall below the wider 76.4% ($0.7651) level. That in itself would be a particularly bearish signal and thus it makes sense to look for longs in this zone, where a break below $0.7642 would be required to negate the bullish outlook.

AUD/USD chart

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.