Skip to content

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD

The dollar surge is taking a breather this morning. However, with downtrends in play for EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD, it is likely we will see further selling take hold before long.

Video poster image

EUR/USD decline intensifies after support break

EUR/USD has been selling off sharply since breaking below the $1.2154 support level last week. Yesterday’s price action was no different, with the price falling below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).

This morning has seen a brief respite from that intense selling, with the pair rising into what looks like another retracement. The middle Bollinger band has provided us with a reliable resistance indicator of late, and this is likely to be the case should the price rally that far. As such, look out for a potential shorting opportunity at the middle Bollinger band, which coincides with the 50% retracement. A bearish outlook remains unless we see a break back above the $1.2139 swing high.

EUR/USD price chart

GBP/USD upside unlikely to last

GBP/USD is similarly rising against the trend, with the recent downtrend likely to come back into play before long. The price has rarely broken above the middle Bollinger band over the past fortnight, so it is likely we will see this indicator limit any upside.

Ultimately, $1.3998 is the most important swing high that must be overcome to negate the bearish view. However, given the recent trend, it seems likely we will break above the near-term area of resistance at $1.3800, given the need to break heavily through the middle Bollinger band.

GBP/USD price chart

AUD/USD rallying after break below crucial support level

AUD/USD is also gaining ground this morning, with the price pushing back above the crucial $0.7501 level. That level negated a long-term uptrend, completing a double top formation evident on the weekly timeframe. This points towards the potential for a major breakdown for the pair.

However, it is also worth noting that we could see a fakeout, and as such, another leg lower would provide strong confidence that we are going to continue this downtrend of late. In the meantime, with the price rallying towards the deeper retracements, watch for a potential breakdown from Fibonacci resistance. A deeper short entry would compensate for the risk associated with taking a position at such a pivotal area of support as this.

AUD/USD price chart

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Find articles by writer

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.