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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD

Recent EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and AUD/USD upside looks to be providing us with a good shorting opportunity, given the wider downtrend in play across all three pairs. 

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EUR/USD rebound unlikely to last

EUR/USD has been pushing higher over the past week, reversing much of the downside seen throughout the first two weeks of the month.

With the price having gained so much, it looks likely that we are seeing a retracement of the wider deterioration from $1.1746. Thus, while this rebound is impressive, it is not expected to last. As such, while we could see another short-term bounce, a bearish outlook is in play now that we have seen the price move into the 61.8% to 76.4% retracement zone.

EUR/USD chart

GBP/USD rebound likely to provide selling opportunity

GBP/USD has similarly been gaining ground over the past week, with the price approaching the 50% Fibonacci retracement overnight.

There is a good chance we could see further upside over the near term. However, this looks like a retracement of the $1.3212-$1.2661 decline, and thus it makes sense to look for the pair to turn lower from Fibonacci or trendline resistance.

GBP/USD chart

Selling expected after deep AUD/USD rebound

AUD/USD managed to rebound into the 76.4% region yesterday, with the pair providing a similar bounce to that seen in EUR/USD and GBP/USD.

Given the wider downtrend in play, we are likely to see the pair turn lower before long. With that in mind, a bearish view is in play unless the pair rally through the $0.7453 swing high.   

AUD/USD chart

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.