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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY

The dollar is back in charge, with the Fed expected to raise rates again later today. With EUR/USD and GBP/USD turning lower, and USD/JPY pushing higher, it seems there is likely to be further USD upside yet.

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EUR/USD falls towards key support level

The pair has been drifting lower in the first half of the week, with EUR/USD moving into a support level that is pivotal for the short-term outlook.

That $1.1727 support level is going to be the key level to watch today, for a break below there would complete a lower low and accompany the lower high set yesterday. As such, an hourly close below $1.1727 would provide a bearish short-term outlook to coincide with the wider bearish outlook. Otherwise, a rally above $1.1837 would signal a likely continuation of the recent rebound.

EUR/USD chart

GBP/USD reversing recent gains

GBP/USD is continuing its decline this morning, with the pair reversing the rebound we saw last week.

With the price approaching trendline support, there is a chance of another short-term bounce into trendline resistance. However, until we break above $1.3425, a bearish short-term picture is in play.

GBP/USD chart

USD/JPY continues to extend breakout

USD/JPY has been steadily climbing after the break through the crucial ¥110.27 swing high.

That break signifies a likely resurgence of that pair and negates the breakdown below ¥108.64 in late May. With that in mind, further upside looks likely, with a fall below ¥110.10 required to bring about a bearish short-term outlook. At which point we would be looking at a likely retracement of the rally up from ¥109.19.

USD/JPY chart

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.