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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD and GBP/USD

Both EUR/USD and GBP/USD have been regaining ground after recent declines. However, there is a growing feeling that we could see both pairs turn lower to continue recent trends.

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EUR/USD rallies into trendline resistance

EUR/USD is starting to show signs of weakness following a rally into trendline resistance at the beginning of the week. Respect at this level would continue the symmetrical triangle formation in play over recent weeks.

Ultimately, we would need to see the price rally through $1.1745 to signify the start of a bullish breakout phase. Until then, a continuation of this pattern looks likely, with a move lower from here expected.

EUR/USD price chart

Minimal GBP/USD rebound raises breakdown chances

GBP/USD has been gradually gaining ground this week, following a clear respect of the 76.4% retracement on Thursday. A rally back above that $1.3214 level would constitute a potentially bullish signal to partly negate the downtrend in play over recent weeks.

However, the gentle slant of this recovery signals a possible impending breakdown for the pair. A drop below $1.3083 would confirm this bearish outlook.

GBP/USD price chart

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.