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Levels to watch: FTSE, DAX and Dow

Modest losses continue, and while signs of buying are emerging, a full afternoon of Federal Reserve speakers could keep the bulls in check.

Trader in the New York Stock Exchange
Source: Bloomberg

Fed speakers may make FTSE 100 nervous

We have seen the FTSE move back from all-time highs, and dip below the 50-hour simple moving average (SMA) – 7372. However, buyers appear to be entering around 7350; with a busy day of Federal Reserve speakers on tap we could see further nervousness back down to 7320. A move back into the 7280/7320 zone would mark a consolidation, with a potential break lower. The target to break remains 7400.

FTSE 100 price chart

DAX uptrend set to continue

The pullback from above 12,000 has seen the DAX price return to the rising trendline off the 8 February low. If buyers can mount a defence here then a rally back to 12,100 could be in order.

A loss of 12,000 could suggest a move back to 11,858, while even a drop to the 50-day SMA at 11,685 would still leave the index within the longer-term uptrend. 

DAX price chart

Dow rally not to be underestimated

It is important to note the Dow Jones could go all the way back towards 20,840, another 120 points lower, and still be within the immediate uptrend from early February. The index has dropped back from all-time highs but is now heavily oversold.

With a busy afternoon of Fed speakers, US assets will be primed for volatility, but it would be wise not to underestimate this rally. A drop below 20,800 would be needed to really suggest the bounce has come to an end. 

Dow Jones price chart

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.