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May’s Brexit deal could cost UK economy £100bn by 2030

EU leaders have agreed to Theresa May’s Brexit deal which could cost British citizens up to £1100 each per year, according to a recent report.

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UK Prime Minister Theresa May has managed to get EU leaders to sign off on her Brexit deal, but as it stands the draft withdrawal agreement is expected to cost the UK economy around £100 billion each year by 2030, according to new report by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR).

Despite the economic hit to the UK economy will suffer at the hands of Brexit, which will see each British person burdened by long-term economic costs in the range of £700 - £1100 a year, May’s withdrawal agreement will hurt the country’s economy far less than if it were to bail out without a deal, the report said.

A deal is better than no deal

According to the NIESR report, in years since the 2016 Brexit referendum the UK GDP has fallen by around 2% compared to estimates figures had Britain voted to remain in the EU.

But despite May constantly stating that ‘no deal is better than a bad deal’, a no deal scenario would have cost Britain around £140 billion a year and led to a 5% fall in GDP, the report said.

‘Our assessment is that trade with the EU, especially in services, will be more costly after Brexit,’ it said. ‘This is likely to have an adverse effect on living standards in the UK.’

The best and only deal

Now that the prime minister has secured support for her deal from EU leaders, she is looking to drum up support from the public, saying in a recent press conference that ‘the British people don’t want to spend any time arguing about Brexit’.

She also stressed that the deal she has brokered with EU leaders ‘is the best possible deal’ and the only deal on the table in the hope that MPs will support the it in the House of Commons in December.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.