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Saga share price: what’s the latest ahead of its Q3 results?

The insurance and travel company for over 50s has seen its share price fall by more than 40% this year, with analysts remaining conservative about its price trajectory ahead of its third quarter earnings.

Saga Source: Bloomberg

Following a disappointing set of annual results last year that saw its dividend cut and its share price tumble more than 40%, Saga continues to struggle ahead of its third-quarter (Q3) results this month.

Over its first six months of trading underlying pre-tax profit hit £52.8 million, down 50.9% compared with the same period last year, though it remains in line with its full-year (FY) expectations.

In fact, the over 50s travel and insurance group remains on track to reach its target of underlying pre-tax profit of between £105 million and £120 million.

‘We have made good progress against our strategic reset,’ Saga Group chief executive officer (CEO) Lance Batchelor said. ‘The sales of our three-year fixed price insurance are encouraging, and a higher proportion of customers are coming to us direct.’

‘We are pursuing a number of initiatives to further improve the performance of our insurance business. Our membership programme is starting to prove effective in helping us develop a deeper relationship with, and sell multiple products to, our members,’ he added.

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Analysts conservative about Saga’s share price trajectory

Five analysts covering the stock offered a median 12-month price target of 60p a share, with a high estimate of 110p and a low forecast of 39p.

As of 12:00 GMT on Tuesday, Saga is trading at 57p a share, meaning that the median estimate represents a 5.2% increase from its current level.

However, based on the low and high estimates, the stock could fall by as much 31% or rally by as much as 92% over the next 12 months.

You can go long or short Saga with IG using derivatives like CFDs.

Saga overhauls insurance

Just six months into its turnaround strategy, Saga has made good progress, fundamentally changing the way it does business in an increasingly commoditised travel and insurance market that saw the company record a £135 million loss last year.

This financial year, the group has seen a positive response from consumers to its new product offerings, with over 175,000 three-year fixed price policies being sold since launch.

Saga’s direct-to-consumer insurance strategy is yielding a share of new business of 53%, with over half of those customers opting for the three-year fixed price product, the company said

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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