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South Africa 40 Cash Index price forecast: support being tested

Our guidance remains unchanged from our previous note

Source: Bloomberg

South Africa 40 Cash Index

Source: IG charts
Source: IG charts

The South Africa 40 Cash Index continues to consolidate between levels 66250 (support) and 68515 (resistance). The price is drifting to the support of this range, although now trades within oversold territory.

Our guidance remains unchanged from our previous note in that:

  • For long entry we are looking for either a bullish reversal closer to the 66250 or 65040 support level.
  • For short entry we are looking for a bearish reversal of the 68515-resistance level.

Should one of the above scenarios or more favourable setup manifest we will update accordingly with targets and failure levels.

South Africa 40 Cash Index (previous)

Source: IG charts
Source: IG charts

The bearish price reversal (circled red) at resistance yielded a modest decline for the South Africa 40 Cash Index, although has failed to reach the 66250-support target. The price is currently consolidating within the 66250 to 68515 range.

Traders who have been short might consider using a time stop to exit at current levels whilst waiting for a better opportunity to present itself.

Long entry might be considered on either a bullish reversal closer to the 66250 or 65040 support levels, or alternatively on a break (close) above the 68515-resistance level.

Short entry might be considered on a bearish reversal of the 68515-resistance level.

Should one of the above scenarios manifest we will update accordingly with targets and failure levels.

No cash adjustment expected

The South Africa 40 Cash Index is not expected to adjust for a dividend in the underlying this week.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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