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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

The market awaits EU and US inflation data

EUR/USD could also react to the publication of US personal income and spending and core PCE price index, both at 1.30pm.

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The Bank of Japan

In Japan, mixed data raises more uncertainty about the timing of future Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hikes. Industrial production fell 0.1% in April month-on-month (MoM), after an increase of 4.4% the previous month. The market had anticipated a 0.9% rise. Retail sales increased 2.4% in April year-on-year (YoY), better than the 1.9% expected. Tokyo core consumer price index (CPI) growth accelerated to 1.9% in May YoY from 1.6% the previous month, as expected.

China's manufacturing activity

China's manufacturing activity unexpectedly fell in May. NBS manufacturing PMI dropped to 49.5 in May from 50.4 in April, missing analysts' forecast of 50.4. NBS non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) decreased to 51.1 in May from 51.5 in April.

EUR/USD

In Germany, retail sales fell by 1.2% in April MoM. Economists had anticipated a 0.1% fall. At 10 a.m., the market awaits the Eurozone's consumer price index. EUR/USD could also react to the publication of US personal income and spending and the core PCE price index, both at 1.30 p.m.

Dell

In the US, keep an eye on three stocks that published their quarterly reports on Thursday evening. Dell is expected to dive at the open as the group expects its adjusted operating margin to decline by 150 basis points, hurt by higher AI costs. Gap is expected to jump at the open as the group raised its profit forecast, boosted by its old Navy and Gap brands. Costco Wholesale earnings and sales also beat expectations.

US crude stocks

US crude stocks fell last week, according to the Environmental Impact assessment (EIA), as refinery net input of crude oil rose to its highest since December 2019. Crude inventories fell by 4.2 million barrels, while gasoline stocks rose by 2 million barrels and distillate stockpiles by 2.5 million barrels. Oil traders await Baker Hughes data, to be released on Friday at 6 o'clock. Last week, the total rig count fell by four to 600. The number of producing oil rigs remained at 497.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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