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US dollar price action setups: EUR, AUD, JPY, GBP

US dollar broad technical outlook remains relatively bullish; EUR/USD wedge breakout, AUD/USD Head & Shoulders eyed and USD/JPY and GBP/USD facing 50-day SMAs for next moves.

Source: Bloomberg

Rising Wedge breakout still in focus

The Euro may remain vulnerable to the US dollar from a technical standpoint. That is because last week, EUR/USD continued to make downside progress after clearing under a Bearish Rising Wedge chart formation.

Immediate support is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.068, which was reinforced over the past 24 hours as prices were unable to clear this floor. Further upside progress, especially through the 1.0713 – 1.0787 inflection zone, would place the focus on the floor of the wedge. Otherwise, extending losses exposes the 38.2% level at 1.0461.

EUR/USD daily chart

Source: TradingView

Head & Shoulders brewing

The US dollarcould be readying to extend gains against the Australian dollar. In addition to a Rising Wedge, a bearish Head & Shoulders chart formation is brewing on the daily chart below. The neckline seems to have been reinforced around 0.6893.

A confirmatory breakout under this price could open the door to extending losses toward the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Otherwise, pushing above 0.7009 – the right shoulder – opens the door to revisiting the January high where key resistance stands around 0.7137.

AUD/USD daily chart

Source: TradingView

Trendline breakout remains in focus

The US dollar remains higher against the Japanese yen since USD/JPY (大口) broke above the falling trendline from the end of last year. Still, the 50-day SMA is holding as critical resistance, maintaining the broader downside focus.

A confirmatory push above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 133.05 would likely offer an increasingly bullish outlook, placing the focus on the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 136.66. Otherwise, a turn lower places the focus on the January low at 127.22.

USD/JPY daily chart

Source: TradingView

Prices bounce off Double Top neckline

The US dollar continues consolidating against the British pound. GBP/USD recently bounced off the neckline of a Double Top chart formation around 1.1951. This followed an emergence of a Doji candlestick pattern, which showed indecision as prices hit support on the way down. That has opened the door for prices to revisit the critical 1.2293 – 1.2444 resistance zone.

Key resistance is the 50-day SMA. Clearing the latter opens the door to face last month’s high. Otherwise, breaking under the neckline exposes the 100-day SMA.

GBP/USD daily chart

Source: TradingView

This information has been prepared by DailyFX, the partner site of IG offering leading forex news and analysis. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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