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Budget 2018: Britain could enjoy ‘double deal dividend’, says Hammond

UK Chancellor Phillip Hammond said that Britain’s economy could get a boost from Brexit if a deal is secured, with the finance minister promising to release funds held in reserve in the advent of a no-deal scenario.

UK Chancellor Philip Hammond holding Budget
Source: Bloomberg

UK Chancellor Phillip Hammond announced that Britain could see a ‘double deal dividend’, if the government is able to secure an agreement with the EU, during his budget speech on Monday.

Hammond claimed that the UK economy could see ‘a boost from the end of uncertainty and a boost from releasing some of the fiscal headroom that [he is] holding in reserve’.

‘We are confident that we will secure a deal that delivers that dividend,” he said. “Confident, but not complacent.’

End to 'era of austerity'

In his last budget before Brexit, the finance minister said that ‘the era of austerity is finally coming to an end’, while two prominent thinktanks outlined the actual cost of making that promise a reality.

In a recent report, the Institute for Fiscal Studies argued that it would cost the government around £19 billion in additional public spending by 2022/23 and ‘still leave in place $7 billion of further cuts to social security’.

But the cost of ending austerity could be even higher, according to Resolution Foundation, which contends that it would cost as much as £31 billion in 2022/23 to bring an end to the controversial fiscal policy.

‘With so much uncertainty around, and an ongoing determination to lower debt relative to GDP, [Hammond] will want to follow a more modest borrowing path,’ the thinktank’s report said. ‘To square the circle, he will almost certainly need to raise some tax revenues – even if not at this budget.’

Budget summary

The government announced a new digital service tax that takes aim at big tech and leaves smaller start-ups out of its sights.

The new tax, which applies to tech companies generating more than $500 million in revenues, will raise around £400 million a year and will come into effect in April 2020

The government also announced a £695 million initiative that is designed to support small businesses in hiring apprentices in an effort to reduce unemployment in the UK.

The chancellor outlined a further £500 million for the Housing Infrastructure fund that will help to unlock an additional 650,000 homes and pledged to an increase in mental health funding for the NHS by more than £2 billion a year by 2023/24.

‘There are many pressing demands on additional NHS funding but few more pressing that the needs of those suffering from mental illness,’ he said.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.