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ECB holds benchmark interest rate at zero

The European Central Bank has opted to leave interest rates unchanged but will end quantitative easing programme in December.

ECB President Mario Draghi
Source: Bloomberg

The Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) announced on Thursday that it will leave interest rates unchanged, with the main rate remaining at 0% and the deposit facility at staying 0.4%. Key interest rates are expected to remain at their ‘present levels at least through the summer of 2019’.

The ECB did say that it will bring an end to its €15 billion quantitative easing (QE) programme in December.

‘Regarding non-standard monetary policy measures, the Governing Council will continue to make net purchases under the asset purchase programme (APP) at the new monthly pace of 15 billion euros until the end of December 2018,’ the ECB said in a statement.

‘The Governing Council anticipates that, subject to incoming data confirming the medium-term inflation outlook, net purchases will then end,’ the central bank added.

ECB awaits final outcome on Brexit

At the press conference, ECB President Mario Draghi was asked by reporters if the central bank had a begun contingency planning for Brexit.

Draghi explained that the ECB was working with the Bank of England to assess the potential fallout of a hard Brexit, warning that there will be an ‘uneasiness’ financial markets if negotiations breakdown and an agreement is not reached.

End of QE poses challenge for bond market

The announcement by the ECB that it will end its QE stimulus programme raises concerns over European bonds, with the central bank bringing an end to its purchasing of sovereign paper at the end of the year.

The move will put added pressure on Europe’s troubled banks, particularly in Italy, where its banks hold around €500 billion in bad debt on their books.

Draghi addressed concerns over the end of the ECB’s stimulus package, explaining how ‘monetary policy will remain very accommodative, especially with reinvestment’ and ‘forward guidance on interest rates’.

But he admitted that the ECB doesn’t have a ‘crystal ball’ and that if sovereign bonds values slide further it will harm the capital positions of Italian banks.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.