SA40 Cash index 7 November
1. The index has traded through upside targets of 52750 and 54000, but in truth has not afforded us a long entry opportunity in the form of a pullback
2. The dotted blue trend line shows how the short term trend is accelerating in the near term
3. The next upside target considered (and favoured) is at 54800 (channel resistance), although failing a pullback, we are unwilling to look for long entry at current and maintain a market neutral positioning
4. The accelerating trend is a warning sign of a short term maturity in the move and perhaps we are starting to head towards blowoff territory i.e. an over exuberance in an uptrend before a short term correction occurs
5. This is not to say we are looking to short the current rally, but rather feel that there will be a long opportunity in time at a more favourable, less stretched level than is current