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The Week Ahead

Read about upcoming market-moving events and plan your trading week

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Shaun Murison

Our weekly report is compiled by in-house senior market analyst, Shaun Murison.

Shaun has worked in financial markets for over ten years. As market analyst, he presents our CFD trading seminars around the country. In addition, Shaun is a regular commentator on the local financial markets, contributing to various media (such as CNBC Africa and Business Day) and writing daily and weekly market reports. He is a registered person at the JSE as well as a Certified Financial Technician (CFTE). You can follow Shaun on Twitter at @ShaunMurison_IG for regular market updates and insight.

The Week Ahead

9-13 December

Local

South Africa's GDP performance in Q3 2024:

Overall Performance:

• GDP decreased by 0.3% in Q3 2024, following a 0.3% increase in Q2 2024

• Expenditure on real GDP declined by 0.2%

Key Sector Changes:

• Agriculture saw the largest decline (-28.8%), mainly due to decreased field crop activity

• Finance, real estate and business services showed the strongest growth (+1.3%)

• Mining increased by 1.2%, driven by manganese and chromium ore

• Manufacturing grew by 0.5%, with strong performance in iron, steel, and metal products

• Transport and trade sectors both contracted (-1.6% and -0.4% respectively)

Expenditure Highlights:

  • Household consumption increased by 0.5%, with growth in food, housing, and recreation spending
  • Government expenditure decreased by 0.5%
  • Gross fixed capital formation showed modest growth of 0.3%
  • Inventory levels decreased by R6.6 billion
  • Both exports (-3.7%) and imports (-3.9%) declined, with net exports contributing positively to GDP

The main drag on growth came from the agricultural sector's significant decline, though this was partially offset by positive performance in financial services, mining, and manufacturing sectors.

International

While Non-Farm Payroll data showed more jobs than expected were added last month, the unemployment rate in the US slipped to 4,2% from 4,1% previously. The news saw Fed Fund Futures move to imply an 85% probability that the Federal Reserve will look to cut lending rates at its 17 to 18 December committee meeting.

bar graph displaying global indices Source: IG Charts
bar graph displaying global indices Source: IG Charts

The Rand

The rand has managed to gain against the majors at the start of the new month. Gains in the ZAR have come despite weaker than expected domestic GDP data, and finds place in what has generally been a risk on trading environment globally.

n the near term we see the USD/ZAR range bound in nature currently trading between levels R17.90/$ and R18.40/$.

Bar graph displaying south african rand forex pairs Source: IG charts
Bar graph displaying south african rand forex pairs Source: IG charts

Commodities

Commodity markets were mixed by the end of the week, with metals finding some support while oil markets responded to OPEC+ output and outlook commentary.
Copper prices have been buoyed by a weaker U.S. dollar, and as markets await new economic stimulus measures from China, the world's largest consumer of the metal.
Gold also saw modest gains following the release of November's U.S. employment data, which indicated a gradual cooling in the labour market and reinforced expectations for potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. However, the precious metal had remained largely range-bound throughout most of the week.
In oil markets, OPEC+ announced an extension of their production cuts for an additional three months, pointing to weak global demand conditions, particularly from China, as the primary factor behind their decision.

Source: IG charts
Source: IG charts

Companies

Tiger Brands Ltd: FY24 results showed diluted EPS to have increased to 1,915.80c, from 1,700.00c in the previous year.

Super Group Ltd (SA): announced the sale of its 53.584% stake in SG Fleet to Westmann Bidco, controlled by Pacific Equity Partners, for A$641.40mn. The transaction, at A$3.50 per share, offers a 31% premium to SG Fleet’s pre-announcement share price. The deal is subject to approvals and expected to close by March 2025.

Fortress Real Estate Investments Limited: in its trading and operational update for the period from 30 June 2024 to 31 October 2024, guided that its retail portfolio achieved a 4.5% like-for-like tenant turnover growth and maintained a low vacancy rate of 1.1%.

Prosus NV.: 1H25 results showed diluted EPS to have increased by 45.3% from the same period of the prior year.

Naspers Ltd: 1H25 results showed diluted EPS to have increased to 1,061.00 US cents from 736.00 US cents in the prior year’s comparative period.

Absa Group Limited: in its voluntary trading update for the year ending 31 December 2024, expects mid-single digit revenue growth, with broadly similar growth in net interest income and non-interest income.

Standard Bank Group Ltd: in its trading update for the ten months to 31 October 2024, expects headline earnings to grow by low-to-mid single digits in South African Rand and mid-teens in constant currency.

Graph comparing the johannesburg stock exchange indices Source: IG charts
Graph comparing the johannesburg stock exchange indices Source: IG charts

Company announcements

Date

Company Name

Event Type

9 December 2024

Transaction Capital Ltd

Earnings Release

9 December 2024

Anglo American Platinum Limited

Earnings Release

10 December 2024

Thungela Resources Limited

Trading Statement Release

10 December 2024

Marshall Monteagle PLC

Earnings Release

11 December 2024

Vukile Property Fund Limited

Regular Dividends - Cash

11 December 2024

Life Healthcare Group

Regular Dividends

11 December 2024

Frontier Transport Holdings Limited

Regular Dividends - Cash

11 December 2024

Octodec Investments Limited

Regular Dividends - Cash

11 December 2024

eMedia Holdings Limited

Regular Dividends - Cash

11 December 2024

Mr Price Group Limited

Regular Dividends - Cash

11 December 2024

Investec Limited

Regular Dividends - Cash

11 December 2024

Burstone Group Limited

Regular Dividends - Cash

11 December 2024

Combined Motor Holdings Ltd

Regular Dividends - Cash

12 December 2024

RMB Holdings Ltd

Earnings Release

Economic calendar

Date

Time

Region

Event

Previous

10 December 2024

11:30am

ZAR

Mining Production & Sales

10 December 2024

1:00pm

ZAR

Manufacturing Production & Sales

11 December 2024

10:00am

ZAR

CPI y/y

11 December 2024

3:30pm

USD

Core CPI m/m

0.3%

11 December 2024

3:30pm

USD

CPI m/m

0.2%

11 December 2024

3:30pm

USD

CPI y/y

2.6%

12 December 2024

3:15pm

EUR

Main Refinancing Rate

3.40%

12 December 2024

3:15pm

EUR

Monetary Policy Statement

12 December 2024

3:30pm

USD

Core PPI m/m

0.3%

12 December 2024

3:30pm

USD

PPI m/m

0.2%

12 December 2024

3:30pm

USD

Unemployment Claims

224K

12 December 2024

3:45pm

EUR

ECB Press Conference

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