This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
Tesco (full-year earnings 11 April)
Tesco's full-year numbers will provide a chance for the firm to give more clarity on how it plans to take advantage of the Booker acquisition. Booker’s expertise in the wholesale market, and the potential for further growth in the sector now that it has Tesco’s financial muscle, means that the firm should be well-placed to expand further.
Current trading has remained strong, and there are signs of margin increases that will help boost free-cash flow (which is already recovering). Tesco is expected to report earnings per share (EPS) growth of 58%, to 10.7p, while revenue is forecast to rise 2.5% to £57.34 billion. The average move on results day is 3.8%, with current options pricing suggesting a move of 3.15%, according to Bloomberg.
Tesco shares have recovered strongly from the November lows, with February’s dip towards 190p bringing out the buyers. A higher low at 200p suggests buyers are still active, and further gains would suggest a move back towards the 215p-220p zone. Support comes in at 190p, with a bigger decline running into rising trendline support from the June 2016 lows.