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South Africa 40 Cash Index: price target hit, now testing resistance

The South Africa 40 Cash Index remains in a broad sideways trend, considered conducive for range trading.

Source: Bloomberg

South Africa 40 Cash Index update - 14 July 2023

Source: IG Charts
Source: IG Charts

The break out scenario above the 69760 level (guided in the Technical Tuesday as below) yielded a fast move to the 71125 resistance level. The price of the South Africa 40 Cash Index then extended gains to the 72370 level where it is currently finding resistance whilst in overbought territory.

Traders who were long into the move, trading between the levels would now have exited long positions awaiting the next opportunity to manifest.

The index remains in a broad range trading environment and in turn we are looking for reversals of levels and breakouts for new positions.

For new long positions traders might look for a close above 72370 before targeting a move towards the 74180 level. In this scenario, traders might consider using a close below the 71125 level as a stop loss indication.

For new short positions traders might instead look for a close below the 71125 level before targeting a move back towards 69760 initially. In this scenario, a close above the 72370 level might be used as a stop loss indication.

South Africa 40 Cash Index - 11 July 2023

Source: IG Charts
Source: IG Charts

The South Africa 40 Cash Index produced the suggested bearish reversal off the 200MA (blue line) and 71125 resistance levels, before moving back towards the 68500-support target.

The price of the index now trades within a near term range between levels 68500 (support) and 71125 (resistance).

The long-term trend is now deemed sideways and in lieu we are looking for trade opportunities in either direction.

Traders might consider long entry on a close above the 69760 level before targeting a retest of the 71125 level. In this scenario, a close below the one or two day low (depending on risk threshold) might be used as a stop loss indication for the trade.

A close below 68500 might instead consider short entry, with 66450 the next support target considered. In this scenario, a close above the 69760 level might be used as an initial stop loss indication for the trade.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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