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South Africa 40 Cash Index forms bearish price reversal off resistance

The SA40 Cash Index short term rally finds an end with a bearish reversal off resistance and from overbought territory.

Source: Bloomberg

South Africa 40 Cash Index

Source: IG Charts
Source: IG Charts

The bearish reversal (circled black) we were looking for on the South Africa 40 Cash Index has formed just before the 74180 level, and from overbought territory. The price has since moved quickly to test support at 72370.

Traders fortunate enough to find short entry might consider moving there stop from the reversal high to a close above the 73180 level.

A price close below 72370 would suggest further downside with 71125 the next support target. A close below the 72370 level might also suggest new short entry positions with a stop loss considered on a close above the 73180 level as well.

South Africa 40 Cash Index (Technical Tuesday 1 August)

Source: IG Charts
Source: IG Charts

The South Africa 40 Cash Index broke out of the 71125 to 72370 range, meeting the long trade criteria. The price is now roughly 100 points away from the 74180-resistance target and moved into overbought territory.

Traders who have been long into the breakout might consider exiting their positions on the overbought signal near resistance.

Traders looking for short positions might prefer to see a bearish price reversal at either the 74180 or 75250 resistance levels, supported by a move out of overbought territory before finding entry. In this scenario 72370 becomes the initial support target from the move, while a close above the reversal high might be used as a stop loss consideration for the trade.

Should a bearish price reversal not form before the 75250-resistance level, and instead a price break of this level manifest, this could instead suggest a renewal of a longer-term uptrend. In this scenario we would be looking for the first pullback from the new high to consider long entry.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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