South Africa 40 update and dividend reminder for Monday
The South Africa 40 Cash Index has produced a bearish reversal off the 67940-resistance level
South Africa 40 Cash Index
The South Africa 40 Cash Index has produced a bearish reversal off the 67940-resistance level and gone on to break (close) below support at 66900.
The reversal and downside support break suggest some further downside, with 65570 the initial support target. Traders who are short might consider using a close above the current intraday high at 67270 as a stop loss / failure indication.
Cash adjustment expected (Monday not Tuesday)
The South Africa 40 Cash Index is expected to adjust for a dividend in the underlying before market close on Monday the 18th of March for an estimated 75 points.
Key data releases this week (local & international)
Date |
Time |
Region |
Event |
Previous |
18 March 2024 |
4:00am |
CNY |
Industrial Production y/y |
6.8% |
19 March 2024 |
Tentative |
JPY |
Monetary Policy Statement |
|
19 March 2024 |
Tentative |
JPY |
BOJ Press Conference |
|
20 March 2024 |
9:00am |
GBP |
CPI y/y |
4.0% |
20 March 2024 |
8:00pm |
USD |
Federal Funds Rate |
5.50% |
20 March 2024 |
8:00pm |
USD |
FOMC Economic Projections |
|
20 March 2024 |
8:00pm |
USD |
FOMC Statement |
|
20 March 2024 |
8:30pm |
USD |
FOMC Press Conference |
|
20 March 2024 |
10:00am |
ZAR |
Inflation Rate MoM |
0.10% |
20 March 2024 |
10:00am |
ZAR |
Inflation Rate YoY |
5.30% |
21 March 2024 |
10:15am |
EUR |
French Flash Manufacturing PMI |
47.1 |
21 March 2024 |
10:15am |
EUR |
French Flash Services PMI |
48.4 |
21 March 2024 |
10:30am |
EUR |
German Flash Manufacturing PMI |
42.5 |
21 March 2024 |
10:30am |
EUR |
German Flash Services PMI |
48.3 |
21 March 2024 |
11:30am |
GBP |
Flash Manufacturing PMI |
47.5 |
21 March 2024 |
11:30am |
GBP |
Flash Services PMI |
53.8 |
21 March 2024 |
2:00pm |
GBP |
Monetary Policy Summary |
|
21 March 2024 |
2:00pm |
GBP |
MPC Official Bank Rate Votes |
2-1-6 |
21 March 2024 |
2:00pm |
GBP |
Official Bank Rate |
5.25% |
21 March 2024 |
2:30pm |
USD |
Unemployment Claims |
209K |
21 March 2024 |
3:45pm |
USD |
Flash Manufacturing PMI |
52.2 |
21 March 2024 |
3:45pm |
USD |
Flash Services PMI |
52.3 |
22 March 2024 |
9:00am |
GBP |
Retail Sales m/m |
3.40% |
South Africa 40 Cash Index (previous)
The South Africa 40 Cash Index traded roughly 500 points short of the downside support target from last week, before rallying back to close above the 66900-failure level.
Currently we see the index finding resistance at the 67940 level.
We do have a bearish intraday reversal forming off this level although not yet completed (with a lower close). A bearish reversal off resistance would be confirmed with a close back below the 66900-support level. In this scenario, the closing low at 65570 might provide the next downside support target, while a close back above the 67940 level might be used as a failure indication for the short trade suggestion.
Cash adjustment expected
The South Africa 40 Cash Index is expected to adjust for a dividend in the underlying before market close on Tuesday the 12th of March for an estimated 196.8 points.
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