Yen under pressure as BoJ fails to indicate any tightening ahead
As expected, the Bank of Japan maintained ultra-loose monetary, keeping its short-term rate target at -0.1% and support for the 10-year government bond yield around 0%.
It also left unchanged a loose upper band of 1% set for the 10-year yield. But the yen weakened when the BOJ dashed hopes that it would tweak the language to signal a near-term end to negative interest rates. Instead, the bank said it would not hesitate to take additional easing steps if necessary, adding that uncertainty regarding the economy was "extremely high." Some analysts believe the BOJ may want to wait for months like January and April, when it will be releasing quarterly outlook report with fresh growth and price projections. More than 80% of economists polled by Reuters in November expect the BOJ to end its negative rate policy next year with half of them predicting April as the most likely timing. Some see the chance of a policy shift in January.
(AI Video Transcript)
The Bank of Japan
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) recently announced that it will maintain its current approach to managing the economy and will keep its short-term interest rate at a negative 0.1 percent. This decision has caused the value of the Japanese yen to weaken and has resulted in the dollar gaining strength against it. Many thought that the BOJ might change its stance, but the bank stated that it would only consider making adjustments to its policy in January or April when it releases its quarterly outlook report.
Nikkei 225
The Japanese Nikkei 225, a stock market index, had a good day following the BOJ's decision. This pleased many investors who were hoping for some positive news. Despite expectations that the BOJ will end its negative rate policy in the coming year, the bank reiterated its willingness to implement further measures if needed due to the uncertain state of the economy. This cautious approach has brought some relief to the Nikkei 225.
The Japanese economy
In a survey conducted by Reuters, over 80 percent of the Japanese economy predicted that the BOJ would put an end to its negative rate policy next year, with April being the most likely timeframe. Some experts even anticipate a policy change as early as January. However, for now, the BOJ's decision has provided some temporary stability for investors.
To summarize, the BOJ has chosen to maintain its current ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping interest rates negative and government bond yields steady. This decision has caused the JPY to weaken and the USD to strengthen. The Nikkei 225 had a positive day following the announcement, providing some relief to investors. Although many expect a change in policy next year, the BOJ remains cautious and will wait until January or April to reassess the situation.
This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
Start trading forex today
Trade the largest and most volatile financial market in the world.
- Spreads start at just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
- Analyse market movements with our essential selection of charts
- Speculate from a range of platforms, including on mobile
Live prices on most popular markets
- Forex
- Shares
- Indices