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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Dow surges in largest single day rally since 1933

Fed’s QE a clear catalyst as markets await $2tn fiscal stimulus package, retail bias shifts in Dow and DAX to majority short.

Wall Street Source: Bloomberg

Dow Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

The Dow's price made a move well beyond yesterday's 1st and 2nd Resistance levels, with the net result its largest single day rally since 1933. Expectations have been for equities to (at least eventually) rise given ongoing and unlimited easing from the US Federal Reserve, and await any further updates with regards to the $2tn fiscal stimulus package. In terms of its components, Chevron was the top performer followed by American Express and Boeing, and where only Verizon was in the red. US sector performance showed all heavily in the green led by energy, financials and industrials. In earnings, Nike's results beat expectations, saying it was seeing a recovery in China. As for US data, preliminary PMIs (Purchasing Managers Index) for the US out of Markit showed manufacturing and services contract, while Richmond's estimate showed a surprise expansion and new home sales were better than expected. Up next we'll get durables expected to show contraction, with the real attention on tomorrow’s unemployment claims.

Dow Technical Indicators Source: IG charts

IG client* and CoT sentiment for Dow

In sentiment, majority long bias amongst retail traders has shifted to a majority short 60%

Dow sentiment Source: IG charts

Dow chart with retail and institutional sentiment

Dow Source: IG charts

Nasdaq Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

As with the Dow, the Nasdaq also enjoyed gains in yesterday’s session, its price breaching yesterday's 1st and 2nd Resistance levels and in turn aiding conformist breakout strategies in line with its volatile technical overview. In terms of the Nasdaq's components, American Airlines was the outperformer surging nearly 36%, but there were a few in the red that included the day before’s outperformers such as Netflix and Activision Blizzard.

NASDAQ Technical Indicators Source: IG charts

IG client* and CoT sentiment for Nasdaq

In sentiment, while it hasn’t shifted to majority short just yet as has been the case in both Dow and DAX, it’s currently in the middle with a small price gain likely to tilt the balance.

Nasdaq sentiment Source: IG charts

Nasdaq chart with retail and institutional sentiment

Nasdaq Source: IG charts

DAX Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

Plenty of gains to cheer about here as the German DAX made a move well past yesterday's 1st and 2nd Resistance levels, and managed to aid conformist breakout strategies. Auto shares outperformed with Daimle on top, and none of its components were in the red. In all, indices globally finished in the green, but has done little here to shift its current volatile technical overview even if most of its main technical indicators are relatively bearish. In terms of German data, preliminary manufacturing PMI was better than expected but still contracting with a sub-50 reading, while services plunged to 34.5. IFO sentiment figures are up next, though preliminary figures released last week showed a significant drop.

DAX Technical Indicators Source: IG charts

IG client* and CoT sentiment for DAX

In sentiment, the upside movement has shifted retail bias from a majority long 51% to a majority short 60%.

DAX sentiment Source: IG charts

DAX chart with retail and institutional sentiment

DAX Source: IG charts

*The percentage of IG client accounts with positions in this market that are currently long or short. Calculated to the nearest 1%, as of today morning 8am.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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