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Week commencing 27 January
Chris Beauchamp's insight
A busy week of earnings and central bank decisions lies before investors. Big tech names like Apple and Meta report numbers, along with Boeing, as US earnings season enters its busy period. The Fed is forecast to leave rates unchanged but the ECB and Bank of Canada are expected to loosen policy.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
1.30am (London time) – China PMI (January): manufacturing index expected to rise to 50.3 from 50.1 and services to fall to 51.8 from 52.2. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
9am (London time) – German IFO index (January): index forecast to fall to 84.5 from 84.7. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US Chicago Fed nat’l activity index (December): index expected to rise to 0.1 from -0.12. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US durable goods orders (December): orders forecast to rise 0.8% MoM from a 1.1% fall in November. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US consumer confidence (January): confidence index expected to rise to 106 from 104.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
12.30am (London time) – Australia inflation (Q4): prices expected to rise 2.2% from 2.8% YoY, and 0.5% from 0.2% QoQ. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
2.45pm (London time) – Bank of Canada rate decision: rates expected to be cut to 3% from 3.25%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
7pm (London time) – Fed rate decision: rates expected to be held at 4.5%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
9am (London time) – German GDP (Q4, flash): growth expected to be 0.3% QoQ from 0.1%, and 0.3% YoY from -0.3%. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses
10am (London time) – eurozone GDP (Q4, flash): growth expected to slow to 0.3% QoQ from 0.4%, and rise to 1.2% YoY from 0.9%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.15pm (London time) – ECB rate decision: rates expected to be cut to 2.9% from 3.15%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US GDP (Q4), initial jobless claims (w/e 25 January): growth forecast to rise to 3.1% from 3%, and fall to 1.4% from 1.9%. Claims forecast to rise to 228K from 223K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
8.55am (London time) – German unemployment (January): unemployment rate expected to rise to 6.2% from 6.1%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US PCE price index (December): prices forecast to rise 0.3% from 0.1% MoM and 2.6% from 2.4% YoY. Core PCE to rise 0.2% From 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45pm (London time) – US Chicago PMI (January): index expected to rise to 37.2 from 36.9. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
1.30am (London time) – China PMI (January): manufacturing index expected to rise to 50.3 from 50.1 and services to fall to 51.8 from 52.2. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
9am (London time) – German IFO index (January): index forecast to fall to 84.5 from 84.7. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US Chicago Fed nat’l activity index (December): index expected to rise to 0.1 from -0.12. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
1.30pm (London time) – US durable goods orders (December): orders forecast to rise 0.8% MoM from a 1.1% fall in November. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US consumer confidence (January): confidence index expected to rise to 106 from 104.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
12.30am (London time) – Australia inflation (Q4): prices expected to rise 2.2% from 2.8% YoY, and 0.5% from 0.2% QoQ. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
2.45pm (London time) – Bank of Canada rate decision: rates expected to be cut to 3% from 3.25%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
7pm (London time) – Fed rate decision: rates expected to be held at 4.5%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
Thursday
9am (London time) – German GDP (Q4, flash): growth expected to be 0.3% QoQ from 0.1%, and 0.3% YoY from -0.3%. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses
10am (London time) – eurozone GDP (Q4, flash): growth expected to slow to 0.3% QoQ from 0.4%, and rise to 1.2% YoY from 0.9%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.15pm (London time) – ECB rate decision: rates expected to be cut to 2.9% from 3.15%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US GDP (Q4), initial jobless claims (w/e 25 January): growth forecast to rise to 3.1% from 3%, and fall to 1.4% from 1.9%. Claims forecast to rise to 228K from 223K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
8.55am (London time) – German unemployment (January): unemployment rate expected to rise to 6.2% from 6.1%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US PCE price index (December): prices forecast to rise 0.3% from 0.1% MoM and 2.6% from 2.4% YoY. Core PCE to rise 0.2% From 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45pm (London time) – US Chicago PMI (January): index expected to rise to 37.2 from 36.9. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE 100: None
FTSE 250:Pennon, SSP, Hollywood Bowl, Supermarket Income Fund, Edinburgh Inv Trust
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
|
Monday 27 January |
Tuesday 28 January |
Wednesday 29 January |
Thursday 30 January |
Friday 31 January |
Monday 3 February |
| FTSE 100 | ||||||
| Australia 200 | ||||||
| Wall Street | ||||||
| US 500 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.61 | 0.36 | 0.05 | |
| Nasdaq | 2.67 | |||||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| EU Stocks 50 | 0.2 | |||||
| China H-Shares | ||||||
| Singapore Blue Chip | 0.08 | |||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | ||||||
| South Africa 40 | ||||||
| Japan 225 | 2.1 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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