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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

EUR/USD: European currencies in retreat as mixed Brexit vote results

Risk-taking expected to be relatively limiting prior to tomorrow’s ECB monetary policy announcement.

EURUSD Source: Bloomberg

The latest in EUR/USD:

A dearth of Eurozone data and ahead of limited risk-taking with the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision tomorrow meant focus remained on the next steps in the Brexit story, as well as where the US dollar would land following what has been significant greenback retreat. Thus far, Brexit optimism was what carried European currencies higher last week (pound, euro, and Swiss franc), but yesterday’s mixed vote (see GBP/USD commentary for more details) meant that the three currencies underperformed amongst the FX majors, and where the pound bore the brunt of the losses.


EUR/USD Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

From a technical standpoint, most of its main indicators remain bullish even as its price crossed back below its 100-day moving average and with a trending Average Directional Index (ADX), but with the gains on the back of fundamental moves, technicals hold far less relevance, and where any Brexit updates can entice breakout strategies over contrarian reversal/fading ones.

Current Technical Overview Consolidation - Positive Bias
Technical Overview Conformist Strategies Sell 1st Resistance After Reversal, Buy 1st Support At/Before Price
Technical Overview Contrarian Strategies Buy 1st Resistance Upon Breakout From Below, Sell 1st Support Upon Breakout From Above
S/L for 2nd Resistance 1.1229
2nd Resistance 1.1208
S/L for 1st Resistance 1.1188
1st Resistance 1.1168
Relative Starting Point 1.1128
1st Support 1.1088
S/L for 1st Support 1.1068
2nd Support 1.1048
S/L for 2nd Support 1.1027

IG client and CoT sentiment for EUR/USD

As for sentiment, retail bias has dropped slightly to a majority short 59% from yesterday’s 60% but still stands near Commitment of Trader (CoT) bias of 60%.

Sentiment Source: IG charts
Sentiment Source: IG charts

EUR/USD Chart with retail and institutional sentiment

EURUSD Source: IG charts
EURUSD Source: IG charts

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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