Skip to content

CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

EUR/USD: Negative technical bias ahead of fundamental data

Preliminary GDP figures for Germany will be closely watched to see if the country’s economy will slip into a recession.

EURUSD Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

There were two key items in the financial markets grabbing the attention yesterday and both were out of the US, with CPI (Consumer Price Index) figures which came in at a better than previous 0.2%, and the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Powell's testimony whereby he mentioned the usual and expected talk of an economy that while is exposed to certain risks, remains in a good place. Part two of that testimony will be tonight, though there will be plenty of Eurozone items prior that'll be in focus including preliminary GDP (Gross Domestic Product) as well as for Germany which will need to avoid contraction else would officially be in a recession. This follows worse than expected data out of Asia this morning. From a technical standpoint, the euro’s fresh lows yesterday weren’t enough to entice a sell breakout, but the overview remains bearish.

EURUSD Source: IG charts
EURUSD Source: IG charts

IG client and CoT sentiment for EUR/USD

As for sentiment, retail long bias has risen to 62% as more shorts get enticed into taking profit.

EURUSD sentiment Source: IG charts
EURUSD sentiment Source: IG charts

EUR/USD Chart with retail and institutional sentiment

EURUSD Source: IG charts
EURUSD Source: IG charts

Be sure to request IG’s Weekly & Daily Market Report when you open an account with IG Dubai and get access to the full information on the FX majors, commodities, indices, and Bitcoin prior to the European market open.


This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

Start trading forex today

Find opportunity on the world’s most-traded – and most-volatile – financial market

  • Trade spreads from just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
  • Analyse with clear, fast charts
  • Speculate wherever you are with our intuitive mobile apps

See an FX opportunity?

Try a risk-free trade in your demo account, and see whether you’re onto something.

  • Log in to your demo
  • Try a risk-free trade
  • See whether your hunch pays off

See an FX opportunity?

Don’t miss your chance – upgrade to a live account to take advantage.

  • Get spreads from just 0.6 points on popular pairs
  • Analyse and deal seamlessly on fast, intuitive charts
  • See and react to breaking news in-platform

See an FX opportunity?

Don’t miss your chance. Log in to take your position.

Live prices on most popular markets

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • Indices

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.

Plan your trading week

Get the week’s market-moving news sent directly to your inbox every Friday. The Week Ahead gives you a full calendar of upcoming economic events, as well as commentary from our expert analysts on the key markets to watch.

For more info on how we might use your data, see our privacy notice and access policy and privacy webpage.

You might be interested in…

Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.

Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of CFDs.

Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.