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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

EUR/USD: Friday’s move aids its short-term technical overview, but easily at risk of being undone

Weekly bear trend channel barely holding ahead of another week of expected light trading.

EUR Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

European currencies outperformed last Friday, and aided in taking EUR/USD’s price back up into the 1.11’s. There wasn’t any real catalyst for the move that helped infuse its short-term technical overview with more positive technical bias, and hence leaves the currency pair at risk of being undone. From a weekly standpoint, it’s at the upper end of its bear trend channel, and where positive technical bias is forming on the daily following its pricing crossing above its 200-day moving average.

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EURUSD TA Source: IG charts
EURUSD TA Source: IG charts

IG client and CoT sentiment for EUR/USD

Friday’s move alone was followed by days of relatively narrow range-bound movement, and hence enticed retail longs into taking profit and shorts into initiating, and shifting retail bias from what was a slight long 54% at the start of last week to a majority short 60% at the start of this week.

EURUSD sentiment Source: IG chart
EURUSD sentiment Source: IG chart

EUR/USD Chart with retail and institutional sentiment

EURUSD chart Source: IG chart
EURUSD chart Source: IG chart

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