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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD

Short-term weakness is expected for EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD. However, it is only EUR/USD which remains in a downtrend.

Australian dollar
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD rallies into crucial resistance zone

EUR/USD has punched higher this week, following the recent bullish reversal signs. However, that run looks likely to be over, with the price moving back into the 200-period (4-hr) simple moving average (SMA). That SMA has provided near enough perfect support and resistance on the last three times of asking.

Given the continued creation of lower highs and lower lows, there is a good chance we will see this market move lower from here, respecting the moving average. We would need to see a break through $1.1858 to negate that view. However, be careful trading this market given today’s European Central Bank (ECB) meeting. 

EUR/USD price chart

GBP/USD turning lower after bullish breakout

GBP/USD is moving lower this morning, coming off the back of yesterday’s gross domestic product (GDP) fueled rally. That move brought about a higher low, followed by a higher high (given the break above $1.3227). It is that same $1.3227 resistance level which is now being challenged as new-found support.

Should we see an hourly close below that level, it would look likely that we would see a more protracted move lower. However, unless we see a move back below $1.3110, any such move lower would look like a short-term move before we move higher once more.

GBP/USD price chart

AUD/USD continues to move lower

AUD/USD is moving lower once more following a short pullback. This gives us a near-term swing high to utilize for stop loss purposes.

The price is currently challenging a long trend descending trendline dating back to April 2016. Should we see a break below that trendline, further losses would be likely.

AUD/USD price chart

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.  Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. 

CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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